Based on the poll responses, the estimated average likelihood of attendance is approximately 79.69%. Therefore, the estimated percentage of students that will decline their acceptance is about 20.31%. Based on the extrapolation, approximately 14.63 (~15) members of the total 72 accepted students are expected to decline their acceptance.
Notably, 72 members is greater than the maximum possible number of 64, so it is possible that 8 members have already rejected and have yet to leave the group. It is also possible, however, that the 72 accepted students are the only students who will ever be accepted, since 8 may be expected to decline leaving 64/64 slots taken.
However, based on the current information, the expected declines seem to align closely with ensuring all 64 slots are filled without needing to pull from a waitlist.
In short, while I admire your optimism, I will choose instead to panic and complain to my mommy.
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