Curve of aging population going up.
Curve of available anesthesiologists - going down.
I think the low of anesthesia residents was about 30 years ago - so we are seeing this low now.
I don’t think this trend will reverse any time soon. Economy and ASC money, and all that - likely will have a small roll. Lack of anesthesia bodies is the driving factor.
This is a complicated topic. NAPA and Envision loosing ground is old news.... larger private groups may re-emerge.... as far as the trend reversing, its also interesting as there are a lot of "sleepers" locums etc who are waiting for hospitals to self-employ. Northwell has not problems recruting neither does Barnabas, they initially set the salaries and sign-ons high and over recruit as a show of force and guarantees of "physician wellbeing" whatever that may mean... suddenly attendings and CRNA are coming out of the woodwork... as soon as the desirable positions will fill we will see a drop in salaries and market demand... eventually small community hospitals will die out, patients will go to ASCs and the rest to MEGA tertiary hospitals who will employ all the personnel.