Over the years, Speculated that something like this would be an absolute disaster for specialty,but didnt see coming so soon. Intellectually, it always seemed clear to me we are headed for a total s— storm. Yet,there are so many smart people in this field, it baffled me how so many others couldn’t see residency expansion debacle
Combined with hypofractionation is killing us, and now this.
kind of callous that recent Astro leadership like hariri and kavenaugh did not even take a position on residency expansion, and they must have known cms was considering this? Paul Hariri spent more time showing picture of his family as a tribute to himself than residency expansion.
I believe this has been discussed previously on SDN, but it appears to be a matter of everyone in our Senior Leadership coming from an era where RadOnc WAS NOT competitive. These were not the best of their class. To take our favorite examples:
Wallner = completed Fellowship in RO in 1972
Kachnic = completed residency 1996
From what I can gather, RadOnc didn't truly become hyper-competitive until perhaps 2001-2002. Those classes (graduating maybe 2005-2007) are just coming into Senior Leadership roles.
This entire field reeks of the "Peter principle", which perhaps has been discussed on SDN before, but to quote Wiki:
"an employee is promoted based on their success in previous jobs until they reach a level at which they are no longer competent, as skills in one job do not necessarily translate to another"
We witnessed an entire era of people who naturally fell into leadership positions due to the inherent belief in Medicine that time spent doing this = skill, concurrent with technology and cancer care (and reimbursement) advancing in such a way that the field becomes extremely competitive. The 2000-2015 Golden Era happened by accident, not by design.
Many of the people I've talked to in the past few years - either in-training or recently done with training - had some inkling that this would be a problem, but no one has any power to do anything about it.
Medicine trains you to take care of sick people. It does not train you in business or economics or forecasting or anything like that. It does, however, train your ego to BELIEVE you know to to succeed in business or economics or whatever.
And that is how we arrived here.