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Hi! just out of curiosity, how do you know UWisc sent last major wave? I am using interview dates to try to see what I can expect from schools sending interview invites, and UWIsc has 2 interview dates out of their 4 total in Jan and Feb. Do schools just tend to send/fill up early? Thanks for the insight!Depends on the school tbh. Many are done with IIs (some like Tri-I have been done for over a month, some like Emory and UWisc recently sent their last major wave), while others are just getting started. MCW MSTP just sent their first IIs of the season on Monday. They will certainly be sending more to come. The late-interviewing schools (the ones with interviews after New Years) will be the main ones sending invites in Nov.
If you are curious in overall probability, it would be helpful to refer to @RunningMSN 's graph below.